I’m frequently asked how markets do during a presidential election year.
Looking back through history, there are certain trends in the markets during the first, second, third and fourth years of a presidential term.
Market watchers forecast based on how history repeats itself during these cycles. So today, I’ll focus on what tends to happen in the fourth year of a presidential term.
Since 1952, the Stock Trader’s Almanac tells us, the Dow has returned 10.1% on average when a sitting president has run for reelection.
(Of course, there is no crystal ball for the market. Past performance is no indicator of future performance. …read more
