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Trading Ideas

Can a Double-Digit Yield Be Safe?

In December 2017, I looked at the dividend safety of Apollo Commercial Real Estate (NYSE: ARI).
Back then, SafetyNet Pro and I determined that the 9.8% yield was safe. The stock received an “A” rating because the company generated plenty of net interest income (NII).
A reader requested that I revisit Apollo Commercial Real Estate, his interest likely sparked by my recent recommendation of the stock in the July issue of The Oxford Income Letter.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate is a mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT). It borrows money short term and lends it out longer term at higher rates. The difference …read more […]

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Trading Ideas

Making a 130% Overnight Gain on Kellogg

Many of us woke up this morning to another round of heavy selling pressure – which is being attributed to inverted yields on the two-year Treasury vs. the 10-year Treasury.
What exactly does that mean, and why is it so alarming?
First off, it means that the two-year yield is now higher than the 10-year yield.
Secondly, it’s the first time since 2007 that this has occurred. Whenever this does happen, it’s considered a reliable indicator of an economic recession.
In fact, according to research from Credit Suisse, this yield curve inversion has preceded every recession over the past 50 years – with a …read more […]